This dashboard provides important historical information and forecasts for the growth of COVID-19 epidemic, as a function of social mobility, climate, population demographics, vaccination, and history of the disease in the United States communities. The orange region shows the forecast (at 90% confidence level).
Tip: In order to keep the Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions at their current level, set the "Date to Start Mitigation" beyond the end date for the forecast.
Important Note: Forecasts are subject to model, systematic, and statistical uncertainties. In particular, the assumed efficacy of vaccines in population remains tentative. If the evaluated county is different from what you had in mind, please provide more detail as County name or State.
For further information, see Dr. Afshordi's website
[Last Updated April 19, 2021]
(0%) normal activity .......................................................................................... total lockdown (100%)
(0%) no face masks .............................................................................................. widespread use (99%)
(0%) no vaccination .............................................................................. widespread vaccination (100%)
1 month .................................................................................................................................... 12 months